Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.277804 6.156563 7.102799 8.193530 9.412084 10.727508 12.250744
2025-04-13 3.664862 4.762735 6.042920 7.630278 9.529125 11.710909 14.389528
2025-04-20 2.918942 4.185518 5.770936 7.863631 10.512666 13.712498 17.824048
2025-04-27 2.504026 3.924713 5.818297 8.455391 11.954415 16.355795 22.219041
2025-05-04 2.133304 3.643201 5.778776 8.902848 13.226225 18.860813 26.602989
2025-05-11 1.726285 3.224147 5.475276 8.933389 13.918462 20.638050 30.142153
2025-05-18 1.344719 2.760927 5.027422 8.684691 14.172588 21.813938 32.922307
2025-05-25 1.057128 2.386601 4.649567 8.476414 14.437282 22.987073 35.726852
2025-06-01 0.858969 2.123833 4.404847 8.430768 14.914380 24.459345 38.989642
2025-06-08 0.694053 1.883797 4.157351 8.341500 15.298856 25.796214 42.098528
2025-06-15 0.626021 1.826802 4.224985 8.778157 16.528471 28.431966 47.183996
2025-06-22 0.525335 1.672421 4.085701 8.835370 17.138287 30.147842 50.971096
2025-06-29 0.399797 1.426774 3.736176 8.490256 17.076628 30.859362 53.344547
2025-07-06 0.295156 1.196289 3.374081 8.074025 16.852757 31.293866 55.307625
2025-07-13 0.261537 1.152478 3.407264 8.419137 17.975829 33.932278 60.772579
2025-07-20 0.252078 1.179675 3.605007 9.107819 19.750813 37.702421 68.135312
2025-07-27 0.232842 1.169703 3.713567 9.622426 21.236131 41.050081 74.934759
2025-08-03 0.193603 1.077146 3.607470 9.679137 21.878510 43.016745 79.594369
2025-08-10 0.148887 0.942811 3.370510 9.428383 21.921801 43.966515 82.639036
2025-08-17 0.114487 0.829158 3.163097 9.214491 22.012190 44.988092 85.819499
2025-08-24 0.091681 0.751892 3.038837 9.170714 22.422834 46.568820 89.953283
2025-08-31 0.071966 0.675769 2.901238 9.078274 22.725421 47.963960 93.812126
2025-09-07 0.066844 0.675596 2.994218 9.546703 24.188508 51.473294 101.316237